I wasn’t joking when I mentioned the possibility of storms hitting the Western Cape in last Sunday’s report. I’m sure by now you are all aware of the National State of Disaster announced by the Government as a result of storms and flooding in six provinces. The Western Cape was one of them.

Large swathes of the Winelands, the Swartland, and the Peninsula itself were flooded with rainfall in the hundreds of millimetres. Almost a week later, farms, small towns, roads, bridges, pleasure resorts and all low-lying living areas are still under water, impassable, or washed away.

Towns like Worcester, Ceres, and Robertson were isolated. A problem at Ceres raised concern, when Emergency Medical Services were unable to provide their ambulance services, or make contact with any of their outlying clinics, because all cell-phone and landline communications were cut off.

HAMNET Western Cape was approached for help in Ceres, to provide comms back to Provincial Emergency Medical Services at Tygerberg, in case of serious illness or accident amongst inhabitants, as well as with dispatch and control of their ambulances. Michael ZS1MJT, our Regional HAMNET Director, undertook to drive to Ceres in his camper van, suitably equipped with communications and antennas, and drove a very circuitous route of 310km, via Wellington and Gouda, then almost to Touws River on the N1, to be able to turn North, and then head towards the Tankwa Karoo, before doubling back to use the only open route into Ceres, on Wednesday. (Interestingly, the Western Cape’s APRS digipeaters tracked him for the entire distance.)

The Disaster Risk Manager in Ceres made good use of his capabilities and he was able to assist with radio comms amongst official vehicles and ambulances there. Getting back to the Peninsula via HF radio was a bigger problem however, but luckily, he had just finished building our first QO-100 satellite dish and radio the weekend before, and used it to good effect, to transmit to a geostationary satellite 36000 km above the equator over DRC, and back to similarly equipped stations in Cape Town, to be able to convey messages to Provincial EMS. The satellite communication was rock steady, and unaffected by the glancing blow to the earth of a coronal mass ejection off the sun, after an M class 5.7 Solar Flare, which raised the noise floor on HF to almost unusable levels via ordinary HF propagation.

Michael was able, at night, to use 80m HF using an end-fed long wire, and made contact with several HAMNET members in Cape Town, who in turn contacted EMS at Tygerberg. Thank you to all those who managed to keep skeds with Michael and relay news.

By Friday, communications between ambulances and their base in Ceres were returning to normal, and Michael arrived back on Friday evening, having driven about 700 km, to reach a town just 135km away, if the usual roads had been passable!

Meanwhile, most of the Winelands towns have been heavily flooded, and are still without fresh water supplies, because pumping stations are themselves underwater and out of action. And in the greater flood area, 10 deaths were reported, and over 83000 people living in 21500 dwellings were affected or displaced by the floods.

The silver lining to the grey cloud that was the storm, was the rain in the catchment areas of the Western Cape dams, whose levels have already risen in a week by about 20% as I write this, with more water in the rivers still to reach the dams. If this is the way our winter rainfall season starts, all our dams should be at 100% by the end of it.

Brian, ZS6YZ, our HAMNET National Director has sent me a very long and comprehensive write-up from the ITU about what happens when digital systems fail. I have tried to reduce the executive summary for you a bit. It says:

“What if, tomorrow, mobile phones and the internet stopped working, payments failed, hospitals lost patient data, and emergency alerts never arrived? What may sound like science fiction could become reality. A large-scale, escalating failure of critical digital systems, a ‘digital pandemic’, is a plausible scenario that current management frameworks are not yet designed to address.

“A solar storm of the magnitude that narrowly missed Earth in 2012 could have knocked out power grids and communications across entire continents. Growing space debris already threatens to push low-Earth orbit toward failure, jeopardizing satellite navigation, financial networks, and weather forecasting all at once. Extreme weather, which is growing more violent with climate change, has already shown its capacity to sever digital infrastructure entirely, turning disasters into humanitarian crises.

“This report shows that digital disruptions rarely remain isolated events. They cascade. What begins with a local failure can rapidly spread across sectors and borders. In fact, up to 89% of digital disruptions from natural hazards are caused by secondary spillover effects rather than from the initial damage. The number of people ultimately affected can be up to ten times higher than those initially exposed to the initial event. Digital risks often remain invisible until they reach a critical threshold. Systems simply stop working while our physical world is seemingly unaltered. This may delay crisis response when action matters the most.

“Meanwhile, our ability to cope without digital systems has eroded. Across sectors, analogue skills and fallback options have disappeared or are no longer tested. When systems fail at scale, manual alternatives often cannot replace them. However, the severity of this challenge varies significantly across contexts: countries with more limited infrastructure redundancy, including small island developing states and least developed countries, face distinct and in some cases more acute vulnerabilities.

“Finally, a critical gap persists in how risks are understood. Cyber threats attract significant attention, but non-intentional disruptions of material infrastructure follow different dynamics. The knowledge exists, but we are not paying sufficient attention. And even when we do, we lack the necessary frameworks, standards, and coordination capacities needed to turn that knowledge into preparedness.

“Addressing these risks requires action across six priorities, identified through a co-creation process with senior expert practitioners spanning international organizations, national authorities, academic institutions, and the private sector:

1. Building the knowledge base to identify critical risks, model chain reactions, and map cross-sector dependencies;

2. Updating risk management frameworks to recognize non-intentional digital disruptions as a core risk;

3. Strengthening international standards for resilience, encouraging cooperation for analogue fallback capacity, and joint scenario planning;

4. Ramping up proactive coordination on the most acute risk vectors; enhancing societal capacity to absorb and recover from digital disruptions;

5. Building the trust, and shared situational awareness; and

6. Global collaboration needed to translate early warnings into collective action.

The entire document is available on the ITU website and is named “s-rep-wtisd-2026-pdf-e.pdf”

This weekend sees the Dayton Hamvention taking place in Xenia, Ohio, with about 35000 visitors and exhibitors expected to attend. All the major manufacturers will have stalls there, as well as the ARRL and the RSGB societies. There will have been many seminars held over the three days, and manufacturers are expected to showcase their new devices for amateurs to drool over. I hope to bring you news of new developments in the next week or so.

This is Dave Reece ZS1DFR reporting for HAMNET in South Africa.